Gujarat Parivartan Party leader Keshubhai Patel is hoping to inflict the maximum damage on Modi's re-election prospects, though a number of pre-poll surveys have already predicted a hat-trick of wins for Modi. CNN-IBN's Correspondent Ashok Bagriya joined IBNLive readers for an interaction on whether Keshubhai Patel can dent Narendra Modi's dominance.
Q. If BJP fails to get the majority and needs support, then in that case who do you think would support the BJP to form the Govt? Asked by: Rekha
A. Its simple if BJP fails to get the numbers, it sits on the opposition benches.
Q. If given a chance, who is an able PM...Nitish Kumar or Modi? Asked by: Srinivas Yadav
A. This is only a possibility if NDA comes to power in 2014.
Q. So the real question is Big Win or Small Win . That makes one conclussion that He is definitely forming the government.Is it impossible to Beat Modi in Gujarat . Asked by: Dipankar
A. A win is a win... big or small... but its too early in the day to say who the victor will be.
Q. No leader in India enjoys this much support than NaMo. So irrespective of Margin he wins his projection as PM will help BJP? Your say Asked by: Raghavan
A. Ha ha ha .. Modi has enough enemies within party itself and whether he is declared as a PM candidate is something the BJP has to decide .. though Sushma and other leaders have said that he has he ability to become PM.
Q. Was the Congress campaign good enough to blunt Modi's publicity adds? Asked by: pooja
A. Effective or not it is too early to answer .. but congress ads are not as popular as BJP ads.
Q. Having presided over the worst organised genocide in post independent Indian history, can Modi really be considered a mass leader of a state, leave alone of a country? Asked by: Shishir
A. Well .. Modi has managed to win two elections in the state and is hoping for a victory in the third ... going strictly by the electoral process as mandated, Modi has the support of people in the state.
Q. Don't you think that the BJP ads were full of Modi and only Modi? What about the rest? where is the team? Asked by: ganpat
A. Yes... BJP ads have focused on Modi only... but it's a one-man show in Gujarat.
Q. What would be the impact of large voter turnout? Would it go for or aganist the BJP? Asked by: hetal
A. Hetal.. don't really know .. but high voter turn out has usually helped the BP .. but this time we will have to see if the winds of change are blowing over Gujarat or not.
Q. Will GPP be able to split BJP vote bank and indirectly assist INC? Asked by: sundar1950in
A. It could happen .. in a triangular contest...GPP could eat into the BJP vote base and help the Congress party.
Q. Sweta Bhatt and Jagruti Pandya got party tickets due to their husbands. Is there an individual capability in them to make it the assembly? Asked by: sundar1950in
A. No
Q. First phase 68% polling.Suggests high level of reassurance to BJP to manage the state for third time in a row? Asked by: sundar1950in
A. High voter turn out usually favors the BJP ...but we really dont know which way the wind is blowing this time.
Q. Narender Modi will be missing Bhatt and Vajubhai in the present campaign? Asked by: sundar1950in
A. Vajubhai is contesting from Rajkot on BJP ticket.. where is the question of missing him.. and Bhatt who? Ashok Bhatt?
Q. Does the campaigning by BJP central leadership, other than Advani,anyway help the state BJP? Asked by: sundar1950in
A. Sure it does.. more the merrier.
Q. Violation of Code of conduct goes off just with a tick off and / or warning. why no penalisation on this ??? Asked by: sundar1950in
A. That's the way laws are ..
Q. Congress is not able to project a leader who can don the mantle of CM if elected to power.Is this a BIG handicap ?? Asked by: sundar1950in
A. Actually the Congress does not have strong leadership in Gujarat ... but this is something that congress will deal with ..if it wins.
Q. All said and done, Mr Modi did a good job in Gujarat..Infact Gujarat has become an inspiration bench mark state..He will win again. Asked by: Paresh UAE
A. What's your question?
Q. Sir, don't you think that no opposition leader including Rahul Gandhi can match the charishma of Narendra Modi who is set to get winning hattrick? Asked by: Shyam Vadalker
A. This is a very subjective thing.
Q. Will there be any difference in the main issue concerning the campaigning for the first phase and second phase. Will the core issues in both phases be different. Asked by: Narayan
A. Yes .. as the battle for Gujarat intensifies ..the issues on which the parties harp on will also change.
Q. Hi Ashok, Do you think Modi will make it comfortably for the third time also, is the only prime reason for his victory overtime is only 9 percent Muslims live in Gujarat and they don't make difference in majority seats or its development and good work? Asked by: anshul
A. I cant say comfortably or with discomfort ...but i m betting on Modi .. and moreover in 2012 the idea of communal politics (in favour of Hindus or Muslims )is not a good idea for the nation.
Q. On a different note, when the voting happened yesterday, both parties were campaigning for the other phase. Is this allowed under the election rules. The speeches done for another phase can have impact on an ongoing phase. Asked by: Narayan
A. Well .. campaigning is only not permitted in the areas that go to polls ...
Q. Will Modi win again? Asked by: Srinivas Yadav
A. My guess is yes.
Q. Hello Ashok, Why is English media busy in campaigning that the real win of Modi depends upon the margin of seats? This proves that you are accepting that NAMO will win but with a sense of frustration? Asked by: aditya.yanamand
A. Well..nothing of that sort is happening ..but yes.. Modi's future or whether he will be able to make the leap to Delhi will depend on the margin of his victory
Q. 67% voting...will it popular vote or anti establishment vote? Asked by: vinny
A. Can't say really .. because the mathematics is more complex ..we will have to wait and study the reason for higher voting percentile .. but from what i gather ..this time around women and first time voter have come out in huge numbers to vote.
Q. Will NaMo get 3/2rds of seats Asked by: Tarun Aswath
A. Unlikely...
Q. As per the highest voting and from 1995 onwards pattern.. Now it's clear BJP will get more than 70 out of 87 seats with almost 52 to 55% vote and congress will get a 10 out of 87 and 4 for GPP.. What is your call? Asked by: Atir
A. Don't entirely agree with your assessment... the high voter turnout in urban areas may help Modi ...but the reverse could be the situation in rural area.
Q. Sir, who, according to you, will be benefited due to record-breaking voting percentage? will it be BJP or Congress? Asked by: Shyam Vadalker
A. Too early to speculate on it... the higher voting percentage can be attributed to high turn out of women and young first time voters.
Q. Can it be possible that Keshubhai is indirectly helping Modi. The votes which could have gone to Congress will go to GPP. Asked by: Abhinav
A. I don't think so .. basically GPP has been allying on the voters in the state to vote against both BJP and Congress.
Q. Why the media is biased against Modi inspite of the referendum in his favour in 2002 and 2007? Asked by: Raghavan
A. Media is not against Modi ..nor in favour of some other political party ... media's job is to objectively report.
Q. Sonia and Rahul have not been able to counter effectively the claim of development figures in Gujarat. Rather BJP has turned table quoting the central Govt's statistics in their favour. What is the real position? Asked by: sundar1950in
A. The truth actually lies in between the claims and counter claims made by the BJP and congress...or instance take education ... education is in a poor state in Gujarat and higher education is entirely in private hands.
Q. The power of oratory and the emotional connect MODI makes with his people can not be matched by opposition leaders.Equally good is Advani.Is this one reason for the BJP looking like a MODI party? Asked by: sundar1950in
A. Modi definitely is a powerful orator and has the ability to connect with people in rallies.. but the real reason why BJP increasingly is identified with Modi is Modi's positioning...he has not let second rung leadership develop in the state.
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