Long-time alliance partners JD(U) and BJP have parted ways after 17 years. Will the departure of the JDU upset BJP's national ambition for 2014? Social scientist Saibal Gupta joined IBNLive readers for an interaction on the issue.
Q. What do you think is the exact reason for Nitish to move out from NDA? Asked by: Kemi
A. The advent of Narendra Modi in the scheme of the things decided by the BJP proved to be fatal for the alliance.
Q. What do you think who had betrayed whom..had JDU betrayed BJP or BJP betrayed JD(U)? Asked by: Guddu
A. Bihar has been betrayed because the resurrection of the state may get aborted in the future.
Q. Who will benefit the most from this break-up? Asked by: Mit
A. Forces who don't like stability and the growth in Bihar.
Q. Why Nitish didn't left NDA when 2002 happened..now he is taking this opportunity to blame BJP? Asked by: Dillu
A. In 2002, Godhra and Modi were the peripheral phenomena. Nobody expected him to take the centre stage in the decisive manner.
Q. Why is Lalu so silent after split..he is the one who is supposed to be happiest after this..but he is silent unusual of him? Asked by: yadav
A. The "coalition of the extremes" which Nitish crafted earlier may get fractured. However new social forces may enter this coalition, which may be at the cost of Lalu Prasad.
Q. How much of development agenda now JD(U) and BJP can claim..development in Bihar was done by NDA..now both partners alone..who will claim the development of Bihar. Asked by: Rahat
A. The heritage of development no doubt goes to the NDA. However, Nitish crafted the developmental agenda of Bihar with the full support of Sushil Modi. As both of them functioned like "Siamese Twins", it would be difficult to attribute the share of glory between the two.
Q. What is the role of Sharad Yadav in JD(U). I don't think he has much to say..he follows what Nitish says. Asked by: Bhanu Pratap
A. I am not aware of his role.
Q. The term secular party used by all political parties, but what significance it hold in Development of India or it is a beneficiary term for rise of regional political party? Asked by: Manoj Mehta
A. Secularism and inclusion are the key factors for any development of society and a country. The makers of modern India, say Mahatma Gandhi, Jawaharlal Nehru, pursued the policy of secularism as an article of faith. That is why they could build the mammoth structure of India. This principle needs to be extended and revalidated in the context of India even now. Regional parties or national formations cannot build a society or a nation without tranquility, peace, and inclusion.
Q. What do you feel, will BJP lose or gain in 2014? Can NaMo gain more seats in UP and rest of India other than Bihar? Asked by: Anantha
A. The script of polarisation always backfires. In this backdrop, it would be difficult to prognosticate the electoral success of the BJP in general and Narendra Modi in particular.
Q. Nitish is talking about respecting elder party leaders - I want to understand what should be his position for George Fernandes. Asked by: virenpan
A. Even when George Fernandes became physically disabled, he was sent to the Rajya Sabha from Bihar.
Q. Nitesh Kunar says BJP doesn't respect its elders, but what about George Fernandes? How did Nitesh treat him? Asked by: Sandeep
A. Even when George Fernandes was physically disabled, he was sent to Rajya Sabha from Bihar.
Q. With JD(U) breaking away with BJP in a hurry it seems that they were looking for some opportunity to do this..the reason given by them are ridiculous. Asked by: Mondal
A. This was not a hurried decision.
Q. Is Modi is a factor in Bihar..will he be able to influence Bihar voters? Asked by: sarangi
A. In Bihar, Sushil Modi is a factor, who scripted the development in Bihar along with Nitish Kumar.
Q. Will JD(U) join hands with Congress in the next election? Asked by: Jiba
A. It is difficult to speculate at this stage.
Q. Any chances of JD(U) coming back in NDA again after the polls? Asked by: dilip
A. It is not possible for me to guess.
Q. Had Lalu realized that with Nitish leaving BJP.now minority vote will go to JD(U) and Lalu will not gain anything with this split. Asked by: Dishan
A. It is possible.
Q. Nitish established himslef in Bihar with BJP help..now he sees he no longer needs BJP to run the goverment he dumps them..has he done to live his PM aspiration Asked by: Jagdev babu
A. The split with the BJP was more related to ideological divide rather than personal ambitions.
Q. Do you think, Narenda Modi looks arrogant? Asked by: Prabhat
A. His utterances are arrogant, not his looks.
Q. Hi, Do u think BJP is still having a strong footing in Bihar, considering they have good number of leaders? Can BJP still expect over 20 LS seats in Bihar? Asked by: S Chaturvedi
A. It is difficult to speculate.
Q. Will RJD emerge as a winner with the vote split..will RJD now come to enjoy the power it had done in past? Asked by: Reena
A. It is in the realm of speculation.
Q. Will Nitish get the minority votes for which he had done all these drama..will minority vote leave RJD and come to JD(U)? Asked by: Bilas
A. Even in last two elections, minorities were well disposed towards Nitish Kumar. Their commitment may increase after the split.
Q. Sir, Rajnath singh has an outstanding history of destroying BJP, given half a chance. How far this time, he is responsible? Asked by: Kamal
A. I am not aware about Rajnath Singh's political history.
Q. Now how much seat BJP can expect to win in Bihar LS polls..last time they had 12..will they decline steeply. How much seats will JD(U) and RJD bag. Asked by: Tilak
A. I cannot prognosticate.
Q. Now with JD(U)-BJP, RJD-LJP and Congress contesting independently who will emerge as largest party. Asked by: Manas
A. It is not possible to speculate.
Q. Had Nitish Kumar done this after see in the likes of Biju Janta Dal success in Odisa after breaking away with NDA also TMC in WB. Asked by: Jiju
A. In both the above cases, BJP and Congress tried to steal the thunder of BJD and TMC. This was not the case in Bihar. Larger than life profile of the central BJP created rift in the ranks in Bihar.
Q. Is this split going to affect BJP more than JD(U)? Asked by: Rohit
A. It is difficult to predict.
Q. Certainly Mr N Kumar has done this to gain Muslim votes..but he will then lose upper caste BJP votes..have he taken risk. Asked by: Rakka
A. Nitish's strategy should not be calibrated in a narrow perspective. In the process of promoting developmental model of Bihar and other under-developed states, he had to face the onslaught on the question of the models of the developed states.
Q. This may be the reason LK Advani was against projecting Modi as their Prime minister? In a coalition BJP must have considered the demands of their partners? Asked by: prathap
A. I am in agreement with this question.
Q. Who can be the potential candidates from BJP, Advani and Modi cancel each other? Asked by: Kamal
A. It is difficult to say.
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